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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+4.00vs Predicted
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21.91+9.05vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38+6.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+3.71vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61+6.77vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+0.83vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-2.49vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.54+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27+0.38vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.72-2.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.13+1.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.54-5.95vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.91-4.28vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.64-1.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.35-7.79vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.44-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.051.910.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Hawaii2.380.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.77Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.83Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.51Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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13.79University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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10.72Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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14.97University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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9.21Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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15.3Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Erik Anderson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 29.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 20.8% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.