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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+6.87vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+6.56vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53+1.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+3.69vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+1.78vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.33vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.61+3.82vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.38-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.27-0.44vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.91-0.11vs Predicted
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121.91-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.13-0.76vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.35-5.96vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.44-0.57vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.64-1.95vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-9.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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4.95Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.78Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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11.82Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Hawaii2.380.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.89Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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11.181.910.0%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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13.24University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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15.43Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Erik Anderson | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Henry Lee | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 12.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 40.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 22.1% | 31.5% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.