← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.67+6.85vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.53+2.74vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.38+6.01vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.87+2.79vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.94+1.57vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.72+1.46vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.26vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.54+0.02vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.03vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.91+0.91vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami2.27-1.65vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.35-2.82vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.61-1.36vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida1.13-0.82vs Predicted
-
151.91-4.39vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.54-7.78vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University0.44-1.54vs Predicted
-
18University of Southern California0.64-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.85Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
4.74Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.01University of Hawaii2.380.0%1st Place
-
6.79Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
6.57Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.46Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.02Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.91Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
9.35University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
9.18Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
11.64Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
-
13.18University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
-
10.611.910.0%1st Place
-
8.22U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
15.46Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
-
14.78University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Robby Meek | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 13.6% |
| Henry Lee | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 21.2% | 40.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.