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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+6.11vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.53+2.73vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+4.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+4.04vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+1.64vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.35+2.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.05vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.72-1.68vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.91+0.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-2.48vs Predicted
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131.91-2.51vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.38-5.48vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.61-3.23vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.64-1.06vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.13-3.45vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.44-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.73Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.64Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.92Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.94Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.491.910.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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11.77Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.94University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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13.55University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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15.25Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Henry Lee | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Erik Anderson | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 20.4% | 30.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.