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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+5.93vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+4.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+5.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+3.83vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.53-0.51vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.91+4.46vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.38+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27+0.93vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.72-1.89vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89+0.77vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.67-3.40vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-2.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.05vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.44+1.00vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.64-0.32vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.94-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.13-3.61vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.64Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.49Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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10.46Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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15.0Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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13.96Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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13.39University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 19.3% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 32.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 26.8% |
| Matthew King | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 13.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.