← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.72+6.52vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.67+5.69vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.54+5.21vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.87+2.64vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.94+1.44vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.53-1.43vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University0.94+6.79vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.38+0.50vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.12vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.91+0.69vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University0.44+4.18vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.89-1.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.10-3.52vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.48vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-6.95vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami2.27-6.91vs Predicted
-
17University of Southern California0.64-2.21vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida1.13-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.52Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.69Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
8.21Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.64Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
6.44Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
4.57Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
-
13.79Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
8.5University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.88U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
10.69Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
15.18Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
-
10.86Fordham University1.890.0%1st Place
-
9.48University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
9.09University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
14.79University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
13.11University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 16.5% |
| Erik Anderson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 36.6% |
| Connor Bennett | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 28.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.