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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+6.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+6.34vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+2.82vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+2.57vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+3.83vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.53-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.27+2.18vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.91+2.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-1.07vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.87-4.82vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.38-4.47vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.64+0.45vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-6.28vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.44-0.78vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.54-2.02vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.94-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.57Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.83Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.71Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.48Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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14.45University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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15.22Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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14.98University of South Florida0.540.0%1st Place
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13.72Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Robby Meek | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 21.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 33.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 28.3% |
| Matthew King | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.