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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.50+6.55vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.93vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+3.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.43+3.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+0.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.61vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05+2.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.01+0.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-0.30vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.07-4.63vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.76vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.70-4.42vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-3.68vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.39vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-4.11vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.41-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Fordham University1.508.3%1st Place
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6.93Tulane University1.739.2%1st Place
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6.92Old Dominion University1.597.8%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University1.436.7%1st Place
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5.73Brown University1.9912.6%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.7%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island1.054.5%1st Place
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8.53Boston University1.015.5%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.514.2%1st Place
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5.37College of Charleston2.0713.2%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.9%1st Place
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7.58Yale University1.707.4%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University1.183.9%1st Place
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13.61Maine Maritime Academy-0.330.8%1st Place
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10.89Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College0.411.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bennett | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jed Lory | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Wang | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Alex Adams | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 48.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.