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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.29+4.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+3.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16-0.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.68-1.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.15-3.43vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00-4.04vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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3.61Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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4.77Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.57Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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3.96Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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4.88Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Remeika | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 19.5% |
| William Simon | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 24.8% |
| Urska Kosir | 19.6% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Timothy Harding | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.8% |
| Michael Sturges | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 18.9% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Martin McDonald | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.