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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.51vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54+5.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.04vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.46vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.27+2.40vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35+1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-2.68vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.18vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94+0.80vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.91-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.13-1.55vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.38-7.01vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.64-2.13vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.12-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.51Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.89Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.02Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.0%1st Place
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13.8Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.48Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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13.45University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Hawaii2.380.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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15.8Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.3% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew King | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 11.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 25.2% |
| Grace Bray | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 24.0% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.