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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.23vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.34vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+4.51vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.42+4.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.45+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.27+3.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.83vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44+0.40vs Predicted
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91.91+1.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.56vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.35-2.04vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.61-0.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.53vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.38-5.65vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.64-0.22vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.13-2.51vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.44-1.59vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.91-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.34Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.39Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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10.561.910.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.98Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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13.49University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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15.41Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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10.37Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.6% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zander King | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Erik Anderson | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 28.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 15.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 39.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.