← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.42+7.69vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.64+2.31vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.45+5.58vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.39+1.00vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.72+2.33vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.27+3.12vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute1.91+3.51vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.76vs Predicted
-
91.91+1.55vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii2.38-2.24vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.44-3.18vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.13+0.22vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University2.35-5.45vs Predicted
-
15Jacksonville University1.61-3.35vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University0.44-0.61vs Predicted
-
17University of Southern California0.64-2.10vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.69Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
-
4.31Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.58Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
-
5.0Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
7.33Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.12University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
10.51Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
10.551.910.0%1st Place
-
8.82U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
8.76University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.82Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
13.22University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.55Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
11.65Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
-
15.39Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
-
14.9University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.8% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Henry Lee | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Busch | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Byrd | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 12.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 19.6% | 39.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 31.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.