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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.42+7.09vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+8.07vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+5.03vs Predicted
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41.91+5.76vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.53-0.90vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.87+0.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.17-1.80vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.61+2.96vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27-0.66vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.78+0.60vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.12+4.65vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.39+0.16vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.45-5.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-1.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.16vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-7.76vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.13-4.14vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.03-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.07Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.761.910.0%1st Place
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4.1Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.2Dartmouth College3.170.1%1st Place
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10.96Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.6Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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15.65Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Southern California1.390.0%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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12.86University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Hawaii1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Peter Busch | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 21.5% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Yumi Yoshiyasu | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Grace Bray | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 49.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 6.6% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 9.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 11.2% |
| Everett McAvoy | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.