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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.44+7.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+5.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.17+2.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+2.16vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.53-0.87vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.91+3.88vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.42+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27+0.35vs Predicted
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91.91+0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.39+2.06vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.12+4.64vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-0.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.40-6.33vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.13-2.26vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.78-5.58vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.61-5.85vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.03-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.36Dartmouth College3.170.1%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.13Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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9.88Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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7.88Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.841.910.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Southern California1.390.0%1st Place
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15.64Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.74University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.15Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Hawaii1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Yumi Yoshiyasu | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 20.8% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Zander King | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 6.4% |
| Grace Bray | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 50.3% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 8.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.