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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+4.46vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+4.35vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+4.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.10+5.49vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90+1.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-2.10vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01-0.39vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.49-3.88vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.10-7.39vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-4.46vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-7.24vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-6.09vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.25-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.35Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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5.7Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.33Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.49SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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11.88George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.61North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.54Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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10.91Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 32.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Adam Larson | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Will Murray | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.