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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+4.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+4.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+2.74vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+6.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+6.51vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62+0.72vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49+0.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.12+1.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.52vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.25+2.24vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.69-4.62vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.83-6.37vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.12-8.27vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.01-4.66vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.10-2.43vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.51Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.29Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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14.24University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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8.38Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.34North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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14.57SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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10.42Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
| Will Murray | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 26.9% |
| Bridget Green | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 31.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.