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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+4.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+2.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+3.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.29+1.87vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00-0.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.16-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.68-1.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15-3.88vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.29Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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4.03Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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4.12Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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5.69Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 12.9% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| William Simon | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 24.1% |
| Christopher Remeika | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 19.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 15.2% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Urska Kosir | 16.8% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Michael Sturges | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 16.6% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.