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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.07+3.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.58vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.50+3.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+2.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.43+0.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.00vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59-2.41vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+1.28vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-4.07vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.70-4.40vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.66vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.05-4.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-6.27vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.41-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Brown University1.9913.4%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston2.0711.8%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.505.9%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.3%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University1.436.6%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.184.4%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University1.5910.2%1st Place
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11.28Salve Regina University0.971.9%1st Place
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6.93Tulane University1.739.2%1st Place
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7.6Yale University1.706.7%1st Place
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13.66Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island1.054.5%1st Place
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8.73Boston University1.015.7%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College0.412.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Emma Wang | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Jed Lory | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 12.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Alex Adams | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 48.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.