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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.37vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+8.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+1.59vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+3.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+4.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+4.26vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.89vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.10-3.01vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-2.21vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-2.42vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.23vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.90-2.67vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.83-7.28vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.25-1.96vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University2.01-5.66vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.32-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.59Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.26Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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14.23SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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11.33George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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14.04University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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11.34North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.64Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 11.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 30.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 26.4% |
| Adam Larson | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.