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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.22vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+5.62vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+2.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.77+2.87vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.76vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.00+4.09vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+2.22vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45+0.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+0.45vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.84vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.25+0.73vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.05vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-2.73vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.01-4.90vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-8.95vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.90-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.87Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.22Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.73University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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14.05SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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12.27Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.1North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.3George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Green | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 26.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 29.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
| Adam Larson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.