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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+5.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.46vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+6.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+3.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.38vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62+0.10vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-3.78vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.25+3.70vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.45-2.03vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.93vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-1.25vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-3.63vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-5.08vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.22-2.38vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.48-4.15vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.10-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.5Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.83Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.22Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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13.7University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.75Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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13.62George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.85North Carolina State University1.480.0%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Will Murray | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 20.1% |
| Robert Chase | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.