← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.22vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.62+6.14vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.30+6.50vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.48vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.49+3.44vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.69+5.71vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.63+0.91vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.91vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.10-3.04vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.12+0.19vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-3.01vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.18-1.90vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.77-5.75vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.32-5.18vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.90-4.19vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University1.48-3.45vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.27vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin1.25-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.14Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
9.5Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
8.44Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
11.71Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.91Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.09University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
5.96College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
-
10.19Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
-
10.1Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.25Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.82Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
10.81George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
12.55North Carolina State University1.480.0%1st Place
-
16.73SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
13.11University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Mason Stang | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Will Murray | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Robert Chase | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 6.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 10.8% | 70.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.