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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+5.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+5.55vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.71vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+3.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.14vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+1.50vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-0.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.90+1.88vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62-1.78vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.23+5.65vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-1.64vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.30-3.87vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-4.62vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-3.39vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.48-3.48vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-7.70vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.25-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.55Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.88George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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16.65SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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11.61Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.52North Carolina State University1.480.0%1st Place
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9.3Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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13.13University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Mason Stang | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 71.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Robert Chase | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 5.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.