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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+5.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.76vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.12+6.60vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.81vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.90+3.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.23vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-1.77vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.18-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.25+1.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-0.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.62-5.22vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.76vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-6.72vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.35-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.77Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.21George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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8.23Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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12.36Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.79SUNY Maritime College2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% |
| Will Murray | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Green | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 15.9% | 35.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.