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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.07vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+7.32vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+0.55vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.49+3.34vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.57vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69+0.21vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+3.38vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.84vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90+0.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.35vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-2.24vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.10-7.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-6.35vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.35-6.25vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.25-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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5.55Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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8.21Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.38Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.54George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.75SUNY Maritime College2.350.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.