← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.51+7.51vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.99+3.66vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.50+4.62vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.48vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.16vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.01+2.64vs Predicted
-
7Yale University1.70+0.76vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.59-1.21vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University1.73-2.07vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.18-0.82vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.43-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University0.97-0.80vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston2.07-7.73vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.05-4.49vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.84vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51Tufts University1.515.3%1st Place
-
5.66Brown University1.9912.4%1st Place
-
7.62Fordham University1.506.2%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.7%1st Place
-
9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.7%1st Place
-
8.64Boston University1.015.3%1st Place
-
7.76Yale University1.706.5%1st Place
-
6.79Old Dominion University1.598.3%1st Place
-
6.93Tulane University1.738.0%1st Place
-
9.18Northeastern University1.184.4%1st Place
-
7.58Roger Williams University1.438.1%1st Place
-
11.2Salve Regina University0.972.7%1st Place
-
5.27College of Charleston2.0713.3%1st Place
-
9.51University of Rhode Island1.054.1%1st Place
-
11.16SUNY Maritime College0.412.2%1st Place
-
13.54Maine Maritime Academy-0.330.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Alex Adams | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Jed Lory | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 13.7% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.