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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+4.42vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+2.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.68+1.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21-1.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+0.13vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43-1.32vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.16-3.92vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.61Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.15Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University3.210.2%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.08Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.95Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 15.8% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Michael Sturges | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 17.9% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| William Simon | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 22.5% |
| Martin McDonald | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 15.5% |
| Urska Kosir | 17.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Remeika | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.