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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+5.74vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.85vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.69+8.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+1.49vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10+1.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+0.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+3.04vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.29vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-0.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-2.46vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.25+0.40vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-0.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.18vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.90-4.76vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.73Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.49Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.37College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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6.61Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.04Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.38Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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13.77SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.24George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Will Murray | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 27.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 33.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.