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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.12+9.01vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+3.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.62+4.41vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+4.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.57vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+3.59vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49+0.06vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.10vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-4.37vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.90-0.89vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.10-6.40vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.57vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.25-1.77vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.18-5.88vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.01Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.43Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.59Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.11George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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10.12Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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13.73SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Murray | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 26.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.