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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+7.64vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+6.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.33+2.28vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+8.45vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+7.32vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.93+4.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-2.19vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-1.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-3.17vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.45vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35-2.12vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.48vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.46-2.04vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.05-5.12vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-4.17vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.36vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.18-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.95Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.28Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.32George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.47Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.83Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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8.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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11.96North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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11.83Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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14.64SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.1% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 33.8% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.