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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+5.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+4.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.33+0.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-1.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.26vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+0.65vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.05+0.17vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.39+1.62vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-1.20vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-4.38vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.32vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.18-1.76vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.46-3.69vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.60-5.14vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.09Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.83Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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12.62George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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14.32SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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12.31North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.86Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 15.1% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 30.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 17.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.