← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.81+5.74vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.29+3.02vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.10+2.67vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.29+4.45vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+2.74vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.24vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.08vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.43-0.15vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.35-0.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin1.18+3.02vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.39+1.17vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.05-2.22vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.60-1.86vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.34-5.96vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.84vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University1.31-3.56vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University1.08-3.73vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.37-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.74Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.02Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.67Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
8.45Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.85Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.19College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
13.02University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
-
12.17George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
9.78University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.14Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.04Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
14.16SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.44North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.27Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
11.99Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 26.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.