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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+4.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+2.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+1.01vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.15+0.04vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00-0.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+0.15vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.29-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.68-2.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.27Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.01Tufts University3.210.2%1st Place
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4.04Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.33Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 17.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 14.8% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| William Simon | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 22.5% |
| Christopher Remeika | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 20.9% |
| Michael Sturges | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% |
| Martin McDonald | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.