← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.99+4.66vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.50+5.69vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.43+4.57vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.07+1.38vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.70+2.70vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+3.14vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.59-0.12vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.51+0.41vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.05+0.33vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.47vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.18-1.86vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.01-3.48vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.58vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.97-2.80vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University1.73-8.06vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College0.41-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.66Brown University1.9913.4%1st Place
-
7.69Fordham University1.507.3%1st Place
-
7.57Roger Williams University1.437.5%1st Place
-
5.38College of Charleston2.0712.4%1st Place
-
7.7Yale University1.707.0%1st Place
-
9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.9%1st Place
-
6.88Old Dominion University1.597.4%1st Place
-
8.41Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
-
9.33University of Rhode Island1.055.0%1st Place
-
7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.5%1st Place
-
9.14Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
-
8.52Boston University1.015.2%1st Place
-
13.58Maine Maritime Academy-0.330.9%1st Place
-
11.2Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
-
6.94Tulane University1.737.6%1st Place
-
11.32SUNY Maritime College0.412.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Jed Lory | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emma Wang | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 49.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 13.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.