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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+4.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+5.95vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+4.33vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+1.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-1.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.93+3.15vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.05+1.58vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.44vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.95vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.34-3.20vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.76+1.21vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.31-1.75vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.18-1.98vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-4.45vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.39-4.58vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.95Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.33College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.98Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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8.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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8.8Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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14.21SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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12.25North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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11.55Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 30.6% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.