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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+5.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+3.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.38vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+4.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+2.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.33-0.86vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+4.77vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.24vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+3.04vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.34-1.73vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.66vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-4.04vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.18-0.43vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-2.69vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.43-10.24vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.08-3.18vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.57-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.42College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.14Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.77George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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12.04Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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11.31Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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12.82Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.28SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 10.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 15.3% |
| Porter Bell | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.8% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 16.5% |
| Marcus Adam | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.