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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.08+11.55vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+5.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+1.81vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.18+7.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.53vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+4.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.430.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+3.15vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-3.37vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35-2.47vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.33-6.91vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.86vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.63vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.47-7.02vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.34-7.59vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.60-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.55Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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11.85George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.63Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.53College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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5.09Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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8.41Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.24Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 16.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 13.8% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 32.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.