← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.81+5.58vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.10+3.66vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.02vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.39+6.73vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.37+6.14vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.36vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-0.10vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin1.18+3.71vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.34-1.69vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.60+0.22vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College0.76+1.77vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.43-8.25vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.33-8.88vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.08-2.14vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.35-7.50vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.43-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.58Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.66Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
8.02University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
11.73George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.14Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
12.71University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.31Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
11.22Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
13.77SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
4.75Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
5.12Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.86Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
8.5College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
-
8.16Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 31.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.