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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+4.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+2.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.68+1.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21-1.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.15-1.93vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43-1.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.32Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.47Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.210.2%1st Place
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4.07Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.2% |
| Urska Kosir | 11.6% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Cameron Fraser | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Michael Sturges | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 18.0% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 16.5% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Martin McDonald | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| William Simon | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 24.9% |
| Christopher Remeika | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.