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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+7.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.70+5.82vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+2.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+4.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99-0.49vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+2.27vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.07-2.71vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.43-1.58vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.50-2.40vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.28vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-3.51vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-2.73vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-6.43vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Tufts University1.515.4%1st Place
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7.82Yale University1.705.3%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University1.738.6%1st Place
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6.86Old Dominion University1.597.9%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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5.51Brown University1.9910.9%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.3%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston2.0714.2%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University1.437.5%1st Place
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7.6Fordham University1.506.2%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College0.412.3%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.738.5%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island1.055.0%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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8.57Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
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13.47Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Alex Adams | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.