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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+6.28vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+5.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+3.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+5.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.91+2.74vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99+1.30vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.86vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.23vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.22-2.47vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.20vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.45-1.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-5.94vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.10-6.14vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-6.56vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.49-5.28vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.42-10.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.81Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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8.53Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.58Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.72Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Jack Egan | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.