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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+9.58vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+5.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+5.67vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+3.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+1.56vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23+0.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.46vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-2.39vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.08vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-2.18vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.49-1.61vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.10-5.39vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.45-3.30vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.62-4.89vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.08vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.22-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.76Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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9.82Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.61College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.7Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.11Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.22Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% |
| Jack Egan | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Will Murray | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.