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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+6.45vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+8.14vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+4.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+5.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+6.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+3.01vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+4.07vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23+0.46vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.10+0.01vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-2.06vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.50+0.86vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.54-4.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.62vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.22-5.75vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.45-3.18vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.37vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.00vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.14Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.86Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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11.82Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% |
| Jack Egan | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Will Murray | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 15.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.