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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.57vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.53+5.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.58vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+4.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+1.98vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.67vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.50+4.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23+0.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00+0.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62+1.25vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-2.07vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.91-1.95vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.77vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.45-2.62vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.45-3.39vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.42-8.41vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.99-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.46Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.93Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.38Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.61Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Jack Egan | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Will Murray | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.