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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+6.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+8.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+6.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+3.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+1.27vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10+1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23+0.28vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.37vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.49vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-0.63vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-1.52vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-5.51vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.53-8.01vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.45-4.27vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.50-5.35vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.49Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.99Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.73Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.65Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% |
| Jack Egan | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.2% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.