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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.49+10.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+8.82vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+7.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+4.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+6.04vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.22+2.52vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42+0.69vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.55vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.53-1.84vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.37vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.10-1.73vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.54-4.49vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-5.66vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.50-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-6.57vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-6.40vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.99-7.29vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.84Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.15Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.88Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.52Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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7.16Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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9.27College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.38Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% |
| Jack Egan | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Will Murray | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 12.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.