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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+7.63vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+6.50vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+4.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+0.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.71vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.50+0.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.01+0.52vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.73-2.00vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.43-2.33vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.24vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.86vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.70-5.34vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.46vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.75vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.07-10.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Tufts University1.515.2%1st Place
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6.75Old Dominion University1.598.6%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University1.184.8%1st Place
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5.64Brown University1.9911.2%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.4%1st Place
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7.51Fordham University1.507.4%1st Place
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8.52Boston University1.016.0%1st Place
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7.0Tulane University1.738.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University1.436.7%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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11.14SUNY Maritime College0.412.8%1st Place
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7.66Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
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13.54Maine Maritime Academy-0.330.7%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.8%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston2.0714.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jed Lory | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 47.5% |
| Emma Wang | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.