Race 15A

boston-harbor-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
William Simon 5.9% 6.1% 6.8% 8.4% 9.0% 9.6% 12.8% 16.8% 24.6%
Michael Sturges 6.8% 9.2% 11.2% 9.9% 13.1% 12.1% 14.0% 12.0% 11.7%
Timothy Harding 8.1% 8.2% 9.3% 12.3% 9.8% 11.9% 13.4% 13.5% 13.5%
David Liebenberg 17.0% 17.7% 16.0% 12.3% 12.6% 8.0% 8.2% 5.4% 2.8%
Andrew Tamblyn 17.8% 16.9% 14.0% 11.3% 10.6% 10.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.0%
Cameron Fraser 13.9% 12.3% 14.4% 14.2% 12.0% 12.5% 8.8% 6.7% 5.2%
Martin McDonald 6.8% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 11.8% 13.3% 13.0% 14.8% 15.4%
Urska Kosir 16.5% 15.5% 13.6% 12.3% 11.8% 11.2% 9.0% 6.3% 3.8%
Christopher Remeika 7.2% 6.1% 6.9% 10.2% 9.3% 11.2% 12.7% 17.4% 19.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.