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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+8.70vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+7.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.82vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.70vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+5.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+3.00vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.54-1.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.19vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.53-3.62vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.45+0.21vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.22-4.59vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.62-3.21vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.91-5.17vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.23-8.31vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.42-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston3.100.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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9.0Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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12.21Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.83Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.84Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Will Murray | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% |
| Jack Egan | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Holthus | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 14.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.