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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+7.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+4.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+5.40vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+5.98vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.53vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91+1.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62+2.17vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49+2.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.03vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-2.67vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-4.66vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.00-4.84vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.53-7.85vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.22-7.37vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.54-9.68vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.45-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.17Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.01Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.33Yale University3.120.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.15Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.72Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% |
| Will Murray | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% |
| Jack Egan | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.