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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+6.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+6.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+4.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.55vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+4.24vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.10+2.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+5.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91+1.60vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.52vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.22-3.30vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.99-3.89vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.49-2.84vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-6.78vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.47-8.70vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.50vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.45-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.99Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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12.5Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.6Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.11Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.49Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 18.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Will Murray | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.