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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+9.49vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+4.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+5.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.55+5.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40+1.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-0.09vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81+1.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.10-1.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.78vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-3.23vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-4.08vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.35-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-2.54vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-8.18vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.57vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.36Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.54Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.77Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.19College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.