Race 16A

boston-harbor-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Timothy Harding 9.1% 8.0% 9.9% 9.7% 10.1% 13.5% 13.3% 14.2% 12.2%
Martin McDonald 5.2% 7.2% 8.4% 9.4% 10.5% 11.6% 14.9% 14.5% 18.3%
William Simon 5.7% 6.4% 5.2% 9.2% 10.0% 9.8% 11.0% 18.3% 24.4%
David Liebenberg 16.0% 17.6% 16.0% 12.5% 12.4% 9.1% 7.9% 5.6% 2.9%
Andrew Tamblyn 17.8% 17.2% 13.6% 12.5% 9.8% 9.3% 9.0% 6.4% 4.4%
Cameron Fraser 13.7% 12.1% 14.9% 13.7% 11.7% 12.7% 9.7% 6.6% 4.9%
Urska Kosir 15.7% 14.7% 14.2% 13.4% 13.9% 10.1% 9.0% 5.6% 3.4%
Michael Sturges 10.0% 9.5% 10.8% 11.2% 12.0% 12.0% 12.4% 12.2% 9.9%
Christopher Remeika 6.8% 7.3% 7.0% 8.4% 9.6% 11.9% 12.8% 16.6% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.