← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.73+6.00vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.50+5.62vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.05+6.51vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.59+2.76vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.99+0.53vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.01+2.37vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.43+0.59vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.18+1.18vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.56vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.97+1.26vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.27vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+1.51vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.73vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.51-5.50vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston2.07-9.53vs Predicted
-
16Yale University1.70-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.0Tulane University1.739.3%1st Place
-
7.62Fordham University1.507.0%1st Place
-
9.51University of Rhode Island1.054.1%1st Place
-
6.76Old Dominion University1.598.2%1st Place
-
5.53Brown University1.9911.8%1st Place
-
8.37Boston University1.016.1%1st Place
-
7.59Roger Williams University1.437.0%1st Place
-
9.18Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
-
7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.8%1st Place
-
11.26Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
-
11.27SUNY Maritime College0.412.5%1st Place
-
13.51Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.0%1st Place
-
9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.2%1st Place
-
8.5Tufts University1.515.2%1st Place
-
5.47College of Charleston2.0713.1%1st Place
-
7.71Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Jed Lory | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 46.8% |
| Emma Wang | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.