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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+6.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+5.20vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+8.71vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+3.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+5.97vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+3.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.57vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.64-2.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-1.36vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.81vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-2.50vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-2.00vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.10-4.90vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.09vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.81vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-4.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-6.56vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.10-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.71College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.5Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.0Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Maks Groom | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.