← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+7.00vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+9.57vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.81+6.74vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.43+2.84vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.55+5.47vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.40+1.06vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+3.26vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.10vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University2.94-0.11vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.64-3.75vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.73vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University3.39-4.57vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.10-4.85vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.10-1.90vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.43-3.97vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.07-7.55vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston2.35-5.43vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.79-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.0Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.74Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.84Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
10.47U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
-
7.06Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
10.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
-
12.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
-
8.89Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
6.25Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
11.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
7.43Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.15Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
12.1University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
11.03Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
8.45Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
11.57College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
-
9.36Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.