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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+6.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+9.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+4.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.12vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64+1.03vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.47vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.79+1.41vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81+0.34vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.83vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.23vs Predicted
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121.91+1.41vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-4.87vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-2.51vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.10-6.87vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-7.08vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.39-9.82vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.35-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.41Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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12.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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13.411.910.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.18College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.5% |
| Henry Lee | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 26.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.